Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.000112 0.000124 0.000137 0.000152 0.000169 0.000187 0.000208
2025-11-30 0.000094 0.000111 0.000129 0.000152 0.000179 0.000210 0.000248
2025-12-07 0.000080 0.000099 0.000122 0.000150 0.000186 0.000229 0.000285
2025-12-14 0.000072 0.000092 0.000118 0.000152 0.000197 0.000254 0.000332
2025-12-21 0.000064 0.000086 0.000114 0.000153 0.000206 0.000277 0.000378
2025-12-28 0.000057 0.000079 0.000109 0.000152 0.000212 0.000296 0.000420
2026-01-04 0.000053 0.000076 0.000107 0.000154 0.000223 0.000321 0.000474
2026-01-11 0.000049 0.000071 0.000104 0.000154 0.000231 0.000343 0.000524
2026-01-18 0.000045 0.000067 0.000101 0.000154 0.000237 0.000363 0.000572
2026-01-25 0.000041 0.000064 0.000098 0.000153 0.000242 0.000381 0.000620
2026-02-01 0.000038 0.000061 0.000095 0.000153 0.000248 0.000402 0.000673
2026-02-08 0.000035 0.000057 0.000092 0.000151 0.000252 0.000418 0.000718
2026-02-15 0.000033 0.000055 0.000089 0.000151 0.000257 0.000438 0.000775
2026-02-22 0.000031 0.000052 0.000088 0.000151 0.000264 0.000461 0.000839
2026-03-01 0.000029 0.000050 0.000085 0.000149 0.000268 0.000479 0.000894
2026-03-08 0.000027 0.000048 0.000084 0.000152 0.000278 0.000510 0.000978
2026-03-15 0.000026 0.000046 0.000083 0.000152 0.000286 0.000536 0.001054
2026-03-22 0.000024 0.000044 0.000081 0.000151 0.000290 0.000556 0.001121
2026-03-29 0.000023 0.000043 0.000080 0.000154 0.000301 0.000589 0.001218
2026-04-05 0.000022 0.000042 0.000079 0.000154 0.000308 0.000616 0.001303
2026-04-12 0.000021 0.000040 0.000077 0.000154 0.000313 0.000639 0.001383
2026-04-19 0.000020 0.000039 0.000075 0.000153 0.000317 0.000661 0.001461
2026-04-26 0.000019 0.000038 0.000074 0.000153 0.000323 0.000687 0.001553